Tournament Bracket
Click any matchup to override the winner. Probabilities update in real time.
Tournament Insights
Most Likely Champion
—
—
Biggest Upset Chance
—
—
Avg Upsets per Tournament
—
per 10,000 simulations
Win Probabilities
Click column headers to sort. Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
| Seed | Team | 1st Rd % | 2nd Rd % | Qtrs % | Semis % | Win % | Exp. Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Louis | — | |||||
| 2 | VCU | — | |||||
| 3 | Saint Joseph's | — | |||||
| 4 | Dayton | — | |||||
| 5 | George Mason | — | |||||
| 6 | Davidson | — | |||||
| 7 | Duquesne | — | |||||
| 8 | Fordham | — | |||||
| 9 | George Washington | — | |||||
| 10 | Rhode Island | — | |||||
| 11 | Richmond | — | |||||
| 12 | La Salle | — | |||||
| 13 | St. Bonaventure | — | |||||
| 14 | Loyola Chicago | — |
Head-to-Head Calculator
Select any two teams to see win probability.
—
VS
—
Path Explorer
Select a team to see their conditional win probability at each stage.