Tournament Bracket
Click any matchup to override the winner. Probabilities update in real time.
↓ BRACKET RE-SEEDS AFTER FIRST ROUND -- TEAMS SORTED BY ORIGINAL SEED ↓
Tournament Insights
Most Likely Champion
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Biggest Upset Chance
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Avg Upsets per Tournament
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per 10,000 simulations
Win Probabilities
Click column headers to sort. Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
| Seed | Team | Qtrs % | Semis % | Win % | Exp. Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UMBC | — | |||
| 2 | Vermont | — | |||
| 3 | NJIT | — | |||
| 4 | UMass Lowell | — | |||
| 5 | UAlbany | — | |||
| 6 | Maine | — | |||
| 7 | Bryant | — | |||
| 8 | New Hampshire | — |
Odds powered by
Head-to-Head Calculator
Select any two teams to see win probability.
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VS
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Path Explorer
Select a team to see their conditional win probability at each stage.