First Four
Play-in games to determine the final four spots in the Round of 64.
Midwest (16)
G1
#16
UMBC
83
#16
Howard
86
West (11)
G2
#11
Texas
68
#11
NC State
66
South (16)
G3
#16
PVAMU
67
#16
Lehigh
55
Midwest (11)
G4
#11
Miami (OH)
89
#11
SMU
79
Tournament Bracket
Click any matchup to override the winner. Switch regions with the tabs below.
Final Four & Championship
East vs West and South vs Midwest, then the National Championship.
Tournament Insights
Most Likely Champion
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Most Likely Final Four
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Biggest Upset Chance
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Avg Upsets per Tournament
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per 10,000 simulations
Win Probabilities
Click column headers to sort. Based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
| Seed | Team | Region | R32 % | S16 % | E8 % | F4 % | F2 % | Win % | Exp. Wins |
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Odds powered by
Head-to-Head Calculator
Select any two teams to see win probability.
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VS
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Path Explorer
Select a team to see their probability at each stage.